Perspectives of Arms Control
In times of growing geopolitical tensions, questions of arms control, disarmament and nonproliferation regain importance. To support political decision-makers with expertise on arms control and other security-related topics, the German Federal Foreign Office and PRIF have set up a joint doctoral program for young researchers. Against the background of returning national and international conflicts, dwindling support for multilateral treaties, new arms dynamics and weapon technologies, doctoral researchers will analyze historical, current and future problems of arms control and outline possibilities for cooperation in this field. The projects aim to further adapt scientific debate on arms control to new technological, political and normative developments, as well as to critically assess current political practice. The doctoral program ties in with existing cooperation between PRIF and the German Federal Foreign Office and aims to deepen exchange between theory and political practice: while the doctoral researchers provide their expertise on arms control, they gain insights into the practical implementation of arms control and international cooperation during research stays at the Federal Foreign Office. Following the successful pilot phase of the project from 2019-2024 with four doctoral researchers, the project has been continued with two doctoral researchers since June 2024:
Project Phase 2024-2027/8
This dissertation explores why and under what condition a nuclear power in an extended deterrence relationship initiates strategic nuclear arms control negotiations, using the United States as the central case study. While existing scholarship largely concentrates on the conditions for successful treaty outcomes, this study focuses on the often-overlooked question of why negotiations begin in the first place – particularly when a nuclear power seeks to maintain credibility of its extended deterrence commitment within an alliance structure.
Drawing on a neoclassical realist theoretical framework that combines international system and domestic politics approaches, this project hypothesizes that an extended deterrence guarantor is likely to pursue nuclear arms control when it perceives vulnerability to its homeland that cannot be mitigated through a buildup of military capabilities, due to constraints imposed by domestic politics. Using process-tracing and drawing on declassified archival materials and elite interviews, the study seeks to identify the interplay between international strategic pressures and domestic political factors as central to understanding strategic nuclear arms control initiation.
By examining the United States – the only nuclear power with a sustained history of nuclear arms control conducted within an extended deterrence framework – this research contributes to a broader theory of nuclear arms control initiation relevant to contemporary nuclear policy debates.
This paper-based dissertation investigates how gendered power logics shape and are shaped by global cybersecurity dynamics. Situated at the intersection of feminist security studies, critical cybersecurity studies, and feminist approaches to cybersecurity, it examines how cybersecurity threats and solutions are discursively constructed, how security practices are enacted, and how cybersecurity knowledge is produced in order to understand how these processes reflect, reproduce, or challenge gendered hierarchies and assumptions.
Methodologically, the project is grounded in interpretative and feminist research principles and employs a qualitative research design. It draws on a combination of methods, including discourse analysis and semi structured interviews, to analyse both dominant and less visible discourses, practices, and forms of knowledge production in global cybersecurity.
By centering feminist and marginalized perspectives, the project critically interrogates dominant, often gender-blind narratives and practices in the field of cybersecurity. Across three papers, the dissertation aims to contribute both theoretically to feminist and critical cybersecurity studies and empirically to a deeper understanding of how power, gender, and cybersecurity intersect across different spaces and actors.
Project Phase 2019-2024
The global nuclear order and its core element, the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), are in a state of crisis. The 2017 negotiation of the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons (TPNW) in particular has severely shaken the established nuclear order. The new treaty has shed light on the rifts within the international nuclear architecture, notably the growing division between nuclear ‘Haves’ and ‘Have-Nots’. Thus, it comes by no surprise that sentiment towards the treaty is divided: while supporters perceive it as an exceptional innovation that advances disarmament, opponents see it as a threat to the existing nuclear order. Both sides, however, converge in their diagnosis regarding the origins of the nuclear order’s rifts that were revealed by the TPNW: they are mostly construed as direct result of insufficient disarmament steps, as natural consequence of the hierarchical structure of the NPT, or as purposeful and targeted acts of norm-entrepreneurship. That said, many approaches overlook the multiplicity and interplay of influencing factors that are constitutive for the contestation of and resistance to the NPT.
This dissertation project takes a closer look at the contestation and resistance processes that triggered and nurtured the emergence of the TPNW and have accompanied developments within and around the NPT ever since. For this purpose, the dissertation draws on research on norm contestation, resistance and radicalization to better understand the actual processes of contestation that led to the TPNW. By (process) tracing how states' positionings on the TPNW have evolved, the dissertation aims to illustrate how contestation and resistance within the NPT served as a source and amplifier of radicalization processes especially reflected in the polarization of the nuclear order as we are currently witnessing. For underlying the disputes around the NPT and TPNW are not only procedural or technical issues, e.g. how to pursue nuclear disarmament. Rather, the negotiation of the TPNW also concerned the interpretation of the fundamental norms that undergird the normative nuclear order and the power relations that are reproduced and legitimized by the NPT. Through this perspective, the dissertation illuminates the complex nature of contestation and resistance within the NPT, which is not limited to either proponents or opponents of the nuclear ban.
Current developments in the field of artificial intelligence, automation and autonomy are playing an increasingly important role, especially in the civilian but also in the military sector. The former sees innovations in autonomous driving or facial recognition in smartphones, while the latter experiences the diffusion of technology from the civilian sector to military applications. One of the more prominent developments is currently taking place in the area of lethal autonomous weapons systems. Interestingly, these weapons systems are already engaged with in arms control forums on the international agenda despite the fact that fully autonomous weapons have yet to be fielded. This is in contrast to many weapons technologies that are not subject to any regulation or arms control processes. Nevertheless, attempts at regulating autonomous weapons systems are stagnating while the established demand of NGOs, namely a ban treaty, remains a distant dream.
This dissertation project looks into the question of how knowledge about technological developments is generated in the first place, and what role this knowledge and expertise plays in arms control processes concerning autonomous weapon systems. The project begins with the essential consideration of how arms control processes actually work internally. On the one hand, arms control is no longer directed by states alone; experts, NGOs and civil society actors, the private sector, and many other stakeholders assert influence on these processes. On the other hand, knowledge generation concerning technologies—specifically the potential effects and possibilities of regulation—is no longer explicitly reserved for a group of experts. Many attributions of meaning, interpretations and states of knowledge are in competition with each other. These are found in socio-technical imaginaries. In this context, it is important to determine how the practices of knowledge production and authorization work, and how they 'make' or shape arms control. This dissertation will analyse these processes in the context of the debate on autonomous weapon systems in order to advance the understanding of arms control itself.
This research project examines the intertwining of nuclear and geopolitics and identifies structures of rule in the nuclear order as well as resistance to it. The Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) is considered as the central international legal framework for these structures of rule. The discussion of resistance focuses on the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons (TPN). Since states from the global South in particular supported the TPN, there is a focus on possible anti-colonial motivations. Also, the clear hierarchy of the nuclear order suggests an analysis of rule from a critical, postcolonial perspective and an emphasis on the view of actors of resistance.
For this thesis, the emergence of a hierarchy of qualitatively different spheres of action and influence in a given social context is characteristic for rule. This understanding lends itself to application in an international context and accommodates the research interest in resistance.
Critical and postcolonial analytical tools are used to discuss the nature of the structures of rule in the nuclear order. On this basis, six components of colonial character will be explored. In addition to the two treaties, their norm structure and norm genesis, qualitative interviews serve as the data basis. In particular, the perception and evaluation of the actors of the resistance will be key throughout the analysis.
The book “Rule & Resistance in the Nuclear Order” based on Sascha Hach's dissertation has been published by transcript-Verlag and is available open access thanks to support from the PRIF Publication Fund and the Leibniz Association.
Debates on conventional arms control in Africa often focus on the illegal proliferation of small arms and light weapons (SALW). This is also reflected in development projects of international donors. In this context, obstacles to the implementation of arms control regimes are primarily understood as capacity problems.
In his dissertation project Matthias Schwarz goes beyond the focus on capacity by examining the politico-economic reasons that avert compliance in conventional arms control. The focus on capacity is extended by studying the influence of national political structures on compliance. Thus, compliance and implementation are primarily viewed as a political and sociological negotiation process of security politics. Against the background of the Arms Trade Treaty, the UN Programme of Action on SALW and regional arms control agreements, the analysis is opened to the entire range of conventional weapons with a particular focus on procurement transparency.
The research recognises governments not as passive executors but as active shapers of arms control. Hence, international norms are adjusted in national contexts for practical political purposes. The study analyses the respective underlying causes and effects with a focus on informal negotiation processes between governments and their security institutions. The comparison of three African states will provide the empirical basis.
Foto: Silaris Inc. via flickr. CC BY-NC 2.0.
Publications
- Kein Grund zum Feiern: 75 Jahre Atomwaffentests
| 2020
Baldus, Jana (2020): Kein Grund zum Feiern: 75 Jahre Atomwaffentests, PRIF Blog.
Publication - Ein Schritt vor, zwei Schritte zurück?
| 2020
Ferl, Anna-Katharina (2020): Ein Schritt vor, zwei Schritte zurück?. Zum Stand der Genfer Gespräche, Wissenschaft und Frieden. Dossier, 90.
Publication - Digital diplomacy: The debate on lethal autonomous weapons systems in Geneva continues under unprecedented circumstances
| 2020
Ferl, Anna-Katharina (2020): Digital diplomacy: The debate on lethal autonomous weapons systems in Geneva continues under unprecedented circumstances, PRIF Blog.
Publication - From Legal to Illegal Transfers: Regional Implications of Weapon Flows to Libya
| 2020
Schwarz, Matthias (2020): From Legal to Illegal Transfers: Regional Implications of Weapon Flows to Libya, PRIF Blog.
Publication - Arms Transfers in the Gulf of Aden
| 2021
Schwarz, Matthias (2021): Arms Transfers in the Gulf of Aden. Shining the Spotlight on Regional Dynamics, PRIF Spotlight, 6, Frankfurt/M. - Ingenieurskunst für die NPT-RevCon
| 2021
Hach, Sascha (2021): Ingenieurskunst für die NPT-RevCon. Wie Deutschland und andere Schirmstaaten Brücken schlagen können, PRIF Spotlight, 15, Frankfurt/M. - The Art of Engineering at the NPT Review Conference
| 2021
Hach, Sascha (2021): The Art of Engineering at the NPT Review Conference. How Germany and Other Umbrella States Can Build Bridges, PRIF Blog.
Publication - Beyond the Code. Unveiling Gender Dynamics in AI and Cybersecurity for International Security
| 2024
Ferl, Anna-Katharina; Perras, Clara (2024): Beyond the Code. Unveiling Gender Dynamics in AI and Cybersecurity for International Security, PRIF Spotlight, 2, Frankfurt/M. DOI: 10.48809/prifspot2402 - No Quick Solutions: A Different Approach to Hypersonic Arms Control
| 2024
Kuhn, Frank (2024): No Quick Solutions: A Different Approach to Hypersonic Arms Control, War on the Rocks.
Publication