Ecology, Climate, and Conflict

The Research Group Ecology, Climate, and Conflict examines the dynamics of conflict and cooperation that arise both from planetary environmental crises and from the political approaches aimed at addressing these crises. 

[Translate to Englisch:]

Environmental changes threaten peace and security, particularly when political systems are unable to manage and mitigate these disruptions. At the same time, eco­systems and global bio­diversity are destroyed world­wide due to wars, pollution, and unsustain­able economic develop­ment. These challenges often lead to migration move­ments, distri­butional conflicts, or the destabili­zation of supply chains. In addition, geo­political upheavals within the inter­national system and the crisis of multi­lateralism compli­cate the path to necessary cooperative solutions. 

In the age of the “Anthropocene,” in which human agency has drastically influenced the Earth System itself, the manage­ment of planetary tipping points – such as the endangered Amazon rain­forest or the polar ice sheets – presents a new type of challenges for inter­national politics: on the one hand, the principle of national sovereignty is further under pressure; on the other hand, global techno­logical develop­ments such as geo­engineering create new regulatory demands.

In this context, the research group investigates under what conditions environ­mental changes in the context of the climate, bio­diversity, and pollution crises foster conflicts – and under what conditions they can be avoided or even serve as a starting point for deeper cooperation. The research focuses on two central areas: first, on “environ­ment in conflict”: local environ­mental conditions in armed conflicts and “environ­mental peace­building,” and second on “planet in crisis”: the geo­politics of the “Anthro­pocene,” particularly in planetary “commons” such as the polar regions, the world’s oceans, the atmo­sphere, and Earth’s orbit. The research group draws on approaches from critical geo­politics, political ecology, and Earth System Governance. Of particular importance is also a “planetary perspec­tive”, which broadens the analytical view to the socio-ecological recipro­city of conflict and cooperation dynamics as well as the neglected role of non-human entities.

Image: Danny Burke, Unsplash

Head of Research Group

Patrick Flamm

Deputy Head of Research Group

Tobias Ide

Tobias Ide

Members

[Translate to Englisch:]

Klara Funke

Thilo Marauhn

Thilo Marauhn

[Translate to Englisch:]

Myriel Julie Mathez

[Translate to Englisch:]

Sidney Michelini

[Translate to Englisch:]

Fumie Nakamura

Projects

Mitigating climate change is one of the biggest challenges of our time. However, climate change mitigation can also have adverse effects that trigger or shape conflicts. Examples include conflicts around critical minerals, land-use changes for renewable energies, and phasing out oil and gas in fragile states. The project analyses such conflicts and develops recommendations for peaceful and just climate change mitigation.

Climate Change Mitigation, Peace and Conflict

While recent research has started to reveal the scale of military emissions, there has been only limited insights into if, how, and how quickly militaries and the industries that supply them can be decarbonized. This project takes a single aspect of military decarbonization – military aviation – and empirically investigate the prospects and challenges for decarbonizing it in the German context through an expert survey approach.

Rapid Decarbonization Prospects for the German Military Aviation Sector

Since the destruction of the Kakhovka dam in 2023, groundwater extraction has increased for the cooling of the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant as well as for agricultural irrigation. This project assesses the extent of groundwater depletion and its effects on the water security of local communities, agriculture and ecosystems in the given conflict setting.

Underground Risks: Ground Water Depletion after the Destruction of the Kakhovka Dam as an Underappreciated Legacy of the Ukraine-Russia War

Publications

  • Sitting on Emperor Penguins: The Discomfort of Protecting a Peaceful Antarctica
    | 2026
    Flamm, Patrick (2026): Sitting on Emperor Penguins: The Discomfort of Protecting a Peaceful Antarctica, PRIF Blog.
    Publication
  • Violence in a Warming World
    | 2026
    Michelini, Sidney (2026): Violence in a Warming World, PRIF Blog.
    Publication
  • ‘Ice sheet conservation’ and international discord: governing (potential) glacial geoengineering in Antarctica
    | 2024
    Flamm, Patrick; Shibata, Akiho (2024): ‘Ice sheet conservation’ and international discord: governing (potential) glacial geoengineering in Antarctica , International Affairs, 101: 1. DOI: 10.1093/ia/iiae281
  • Saving the Planet by Making Antarctica the Object of International Discord?
    | 2024
    Flamm, Patrick (2024): Saving the Planet by Making Antarctica the Object of International Discord?, PRIFblog.
    Publication
  • Space sustainability through atmosphere pollution? De-orbiting, atmosphere-blindness and planetary environmental injustice
    | 2024
    Flamm, Patrick; Lambach, Daniel; Schaefer-Rolffs, Urs; Stolle, Claudia; Braun, Vitali (2024): Space sustainability through atmosphere pollution? De-orbiting, atmosphere-blindness and planetary environmental injustice, The Anthropocene Review. DOI: 10.1177/20530196241255088
  • Dem Frieden und der Wissenschaft gewidmet: Vergangenheit und Zukunft »Antarktischer Koopetition«
    | 2024
    Flamm, Patrick (2024): Dem Frieden und der Wissenschaft gewidmet: Vergangenheit und Zukunft »Antarktischer Koopetition«, Wissenschaft & Frieden: 1, 29–32.
    Publication
  • A Green Recovery for Ukraine: How to Avoid the Trap of Green Colonialism?
    | 2024
    Flamm, Patrick; Kroll, Stefan (2024): A Green Recovery for Ukraine: How to Avoid the Trap of Green Colonialism?, PRIF Blog.
    Publication
  • Socio-ecological Transformation Conflicts: A Central Field of Conflict and Research in the 21st Century
    | 2024
    Simon, Hendrik; Flamm, Patrick (2024): Socio-ecological Transformation Conflicts: A Central Field of Conflict and Research in the 21st Century, PRIF Blog.
    Publication
  • Environmental (in)security, peacebuilding and green economic recovery in the context of Russia’s war against Ukraine
    | 2024
    Flamm, Patrick; Kroll, Stefan (2024): Environmental (in)security, peacebuilding and green economic recovery in the context of Russia’s war against Ukraine, Environment and Security, 1–26. DOI: 10.1177/27538796241231332

News

Two-Day Workshop by the Research Group Ecology, Climate, and Conflict
Tobias Ide and his students visited the Federal Foreign Office
Leibniz Research Network funded project on war-related groundwater risks in Ukraine meets in Hanover