Deception & Inquiry in International Security: The logic of epistemic struggle from the Cold War to cyber conflict
In recent years ‘deception’ has become a central problem of international security, underlying issues from disinformation and propaganda to information manipulation, cyber subversion and influence campaigns. Yet despite a general political consensus that deception undermines the production of reliable political knowledge, it remains a surprisingly marginal and overlooked political concept. While authoritarian states embrace deceit as a powerful weapon of statecraft, liberal democratic governments increasingly see it as a strategic threat, a danger to the foundations of the state, society, and the international order – even to human reason and truth itself. Yet even in democracies there are influential arguments that deception is a necessary instrument of power that no state can afford to renounce. This suggests that both our practical and theoretical struggles to inquire into international deception might have profound consequences for security, democracy, and the study of international politics.
This project investigates the relation between international deception and the search for political knowledge. Asking why and how deception became a central problem of security but failed to become a political concept, it combines archival research with conceptual analysis, tracking the hidden history of Anglo-American deception concepts from their emergence in the Cold War to their proliferation in the present. Through four case studies of international ‘epistemic struggle’ – intelligence contests, strategic competitions, diplomatic crises, and cyber conflicts – it argues that deception became a central – yet hidden – problem of security as international actors weaponized the conduct of political inquiry, systematically exploiting the methods of truth-seeking in the search for adversarial power. Drawing on international relations theory, intelligence studies, and the pragmatist philosophy of science, the project explains why political science in particular struggles to solve the epistemological and methodological problems of deception, and why these intellectual traps are becoming increasingly central to the conduct of international security.
Photo: Dan Asaki via Unsplash. Unsplash License.
Publications
- Rüstungsdynamiken: Rüstungskontrolle und Desinformation
| 2023
Daase, Christopher; Driedger, Jonas J.; Burck, Kristoffer; Fehl, Caroline; Wisotzki, Simone; Forsythe, Sam; Hach, Sascha; Jakob, Una; Schörnig, Niklas; Lambach, Daniel (2023): Rüstungsdynamiken: Rüstungskontrolle und Desinformation, in: onn International Center for Conversion (BICC)/Leibniz-Institut Hessische Stiftung Friedens- und Konfliktforschung (HSFK)/Institut für Friedensforschung und Sicherheitspolitik an der Universität Hamburg (IFSH)/Institut für Entwicklung und Frieden (INEF) (eds), Friedensgutachten 2023, Bielefeld: transcript Verlag, 85-101.
Publication - Adversarial Abduction: The Logic of Detection and Deception
| 2024
Forsythe, Sam (2024): Adversarial Abduction: The Logic of Detection and Deception, in: Magnani, Lorenzo (eds), Handbook of Abductive Cognition. DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-68436-5_32-1
Publication - Introduction to the Special Issue on Secrecy and Technologies
| 2024
Forsythe, Sam; Stevens, Clare (2024): Introduction to the Special Issue on Secrecy and Technologies, Secrecy and Society, 3: 1. DOI: 10.55917/2377-6188.1081
Publication - The war for the future
| 2020
Forsythe, Sam; Rößing, Anna (2020): The war for the future, New Perspectives. DOI: 10.1177/2336825X20935234